In February 2024, Andrew Kang, a partner at Mechanism Capital, made a prediction that the demand for Bitcoin in the long term would range from $40 billion to $130 billion. He emphasized the massive potential for global wealth and income to flow into the cryptocurrency market, with the global aggregate income estimated at $52 trillion.
Currently, only 10% of the global population owns cryptocurrency. Even if these owners were to allocate just 1% of their income to digital assets annually, it would result in $52 billion flowing into the market each year, equivalent to $150 million per day. However, Kang believes that these estimates are conservative, as many true believers in cryptocurrency may allocate more than 1% of their income to digital assets, and institutional and business flows are not included in these calculations.
Anticipated Inflows for Bitcoin
Kang also pointed out that major sell flows, such as those from Mt.Gox and miner emissions, are significantly smaller compared to the estimated buy flows. He also mentioned that the recent inflows from ETFs have exceeded even the upper bounds of estimates. According to Farside, the total inflow for all ETFs so far is $2.65 billion, with both BlackRock and Fidelity reporting more than $3 billion in inflows each. BlackRock has even estimated an inflow of $150 billion to $200 billion over the next three years.
“People seem to forget that there has been massive consistent demand for Bitcoin even before these ETFs were approved.”
Long term $BTC demand flows this year I approximate to be $40-130B+
One of the most common cardinal sins of crypto investors/traders is underappreciating the amount of wealth/income/liquidity in the world and its spillover into crypto. We hear stats about the market cap of gold,… pic.twitter.com/9zFed3BJhP
— Andrew Kang (@Rewkang) February 12, 2024
Kang also predicted that Bitcoin’s price would not stay below $40,000 for long and would reach between $50,000 and $60,000 by the end of the month, eventually hitting a new all-time high by March.
Previous All-Time High Before Halving
On February 11, Bitcoin analyst Jamie Coutts also made a prediction that BTC “has the potential to reach previous all-time high pre-halving.” He noted that the extreme leverage and positioning from the fourth quarter had been cleansed, and options open interest was down 40%. Additionally, futures funding rates were still positive but less exuberant.
“ETFs continue to outpace supply by at least 2:1 and the halving is still months away.”
The final bullish factor is that only 10% of the volume moved at prices above the current level. “If BTC breaches $48.2k, there is scant overhead resistance,” he said.
?Why this #Bitcoin rally has the potential to reach prev ATH pre-halving;
1. All the extreme leverage and positioning from Q4 has been cleansed (for now). Options OI is down 40%, and Futures funding rates are still positive but less exuberant
2. ETFs continue to outpace… pic.twitter.com/zP9nYraSyF— Jamie Coutts CMT (@Jamie1Coutts) February 10, 2024
As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $48,100, with an intraday high of $48,700 during the Monday morning Asian trading session.
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Unlocking the Power of Wealth: How BTC Could Skyrocket to New Heights in March
As cryptocurrencies continue to gain mainstream attention, Bitcoin (BTC) remains at the forefront of the market. This first and most popular cryptocurrency has seen its fair share of ups and downs, but recent trends suggest that BTC is gearing up to break new records in the upcoming month of March.
For those who are unfamiliar, BTC is a fully decentralized digital currency that operates independently of any central authority or government. It is created through a process called mining, where powerful computers solve complex mathematical equations to verify and record transactions on the blockchain. This process also limits the total supply of BTC to 21 million coins, making it a scarce asset and increasing its value.
So, what exactly has been driving BTC’s value in recent months and how could it potentially skyrocket in March? Let’s take a closer look at the key factors that could unlock the power of wealth for BTC investors.
Institutional Adoption
One of the main drivers of BTC’s value has been its increasing adoption by institutions and businesses. Major companies like Tesla, Square, and MicroStrategy have all publicly announced their investments in BTC, with Tesla alone investing a whopping $1.5 billion. These large investments from established businesses have brought more legitimacy and confidence to the cryptocurrency market, leading to a surge in demand for BTC and driving up its price.
Moreover, we have seen traditional financial institutions like banks and payment companies start to offer BTC services to their clients. This not only makes it more convenient for people to buy and hold BTC, but it also exposes the cryptocurrency to a wider audience and increases its adoption.
Upcoming Economic Stimulus Package
As the global economy continues to grapple with the effects of the ongoing pandemic, governments have been implementing various stimulus packages to support their struggling economies. In the United States, a new $1.9 trillion stimulus package is in the works and is expected to be approved in March. With a direct injection of cash into the economy, investors are turning to BTC as a hedge against inflation and a store of value. This influx of new money into the market could potentially drive up the demand and, in turn, the value of BTC.
Positive Market Sentiment
Despite the overall volatility of the cryptocurrency market, analysts have been predicting a positive outlook for BTC in the upcoming month. As mentioned earlier, institutional adoption and the prospect of a stimulus package have been important factors in this sentiment. Additionally, the recent rise in interest from retail investors, as seen in the surge of new accounts on cryptocurrency trading platforms, also contributes to the market’s bullish outlook for BTC.
Technological Advancements
Another factor that could propel BTC’s value is the ongoing development and advancements in its underlying technology. The Lightning Network, a second layer protocol that aims to improve the scalability of BTC transactions, has seen significant growth in the past year. With more and more merchants and businesses adopting this technology, the overall usability and accessibility of BTC as a payment method are improving, making it a more attractive investment option for individuals and businesses alike.
Practical Tips for Investing in BTC
For those looking to take advantage of the potential spike in BTC’s value, here are some practical tips to keep in mind:
1. Do your research: Before investing in any cryptocurrency, it is important to do your research and understand the market dynamics. BTC is a volatile asset, and it is important to invest with caution and a long-term mindset.
2. Diversify your investments: It is always good to diversify your investments and not put all your eggs in one basket. Consider investing in other cryptocurrencies and assets to spread out your risk.
3. Use reputable exchanges: When buying and storing BTC, make sure to use reputable and secure cryptocurrency exchanges to avoid the risk of hacking or fraud.
4. Consider dollar-cost averaging: Instead of investing a lump sum, consider using dollar-cost averaging, where you spread out your investments over a period of time. This can help reduce the risk of investing at a peak and is a more conservative approach.
Case Studies: BTC’s Performance in March
Taking a trip down memory lane, we can see that BTC has historically performed well in the month of March. In 2017, BTC’s value jumped from $1,000 to almost $3,800, and in March 2020, its value rebounded from a dip below $5,000 to over $6,000. These examples show that March has historically been a positive month for BTC, and with the current market conditions, there is a good chance that this trend will continue.
In conclusion, all signs are pointing towards a potentially remarkable month for BTC in March. With institutional adoption, a stimulus package on the horizon, positive market sentiment, and technological advancements, BTC is primed for growth. Of course, nothing is certain in the highly volatile world of cryptocurrencies, and investors should always exercise caution and do their own research before making any investment decisions. However, for those looking to unlock the power of wealth, BTC may just be the asset to keep an eye on.
